This weekend, the market remained overall calm, with BTC fluctuating in the range of $104,800 to $105,500, which aligns with expectations. Personally, I chose to stay on the sidelines and did not rashly open positions against the backdrop of geopolitical conflicts. Although the situation was stable on Trump's birthday, the China-U.S. trade relationship still carries uncertainty. The relaxation of rare earth policies is a positive signal, but China has yet to make a statement, and we still need to observe whether it can be implemented in the future.

Next week, the market will focus on three aspects: first, Japan is highly likely to keep interest rates unchanged; second, the U.S. will release May retail sales data, which is expected to be negative, reflecting a slowdown in consumption and economic pressure; third, the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting is approaching. Although there is little suspense about keeping rates unchanged, the dot plot and Powell's speech will directly influence expectations for the interest rate cut path.

Overall, next week will still be a week where policy and geopolitics are equally important, and we need to remain flexible in our responses.

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