I am announcing my own strategy, which is purely gambling. I do not recommend anyone to follow it.
I have sold $MSTR at an average price of $411 and am prepared to buy $Coin tomorrow. The logic is to bet on Coin's rise on Monday, but there are prerequisites.
Today, Coin must drop nearly 10%.
Tomorrow, Coin must drop more than 5%.
If achieved, buy Coin before the market closes tomorrow.
Sell at the market open on Monday, without holding on.
The main gamble is that Coin has been selling the news for the past two days. If it drops sufficiently over these two days, there will be expectations of a rise when it officially lists on NASDAQ on Monday.
I ran some analysis with AI, and most stocks tend to rise on their first day on NASDAQ, but the increase is not significant, usually less than 1%, due to selling the news, and then it is very likely to drop the next day.
What I am betting on are two points:
A consecutive two-day drop, returning to oversold levels.
An opening rise of over 1%.
The reason is that the average increase after announcing a NASDAQ listing is 8%, but Coin has risen nearly 30% over the past two days. Investors will experience FOMO for the first cryptocurrency stock and the first cryptocurrency to list on NASDAQ.
What I need to do is wait. If the drops over these two days are larger, then the probability and magnitude of a rise on Monday will increase. Therefore, I will not hold on, and of course, this expected increase is not high; it is purely a gamble.
Moreover, I am not certain that I will definitely buy, so I do not recommend anyone to follow.
This post is sponsored by @ApeXProtocolCN | Dex With ApeX
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