It's already 7 AM again. Every time I try to sleep early, the result is always that it turns into daylight. There is quite a bit of information today, but the focus is still quite high. The most important thing is the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting. As expected, there was no adjustment to the interest rate for May. Powell's speech emphasized dissatisfaction with tariffs, believing that the currently announced tariff policies will lead to rising inflation, economic decline, and an increase in unemployment rates.

This should be considered a relatively hawkish narrative for today. In contrast, the responses regarding interest rate cuts and balance sheet reduction were as usual, with no prior expectations, focusing more on data, and believing that all adverse effects stem from tariffs. Therefore, the emphasis should still be on the dot plot for June.

During Powell's speech, the market experienced a drop, but subsequently, Trump's unbinding of Biden's AI blockade plan indeed stimulated the risk market. Coupled with negotiations with China, the market's reaction was still quite positive. However, it is important to note that while Biden's blockade has been lifted, restrictions on Chinese AI chips remain in place, so this information does not bring any changes for China.

Returning to Bitcoin data, today's price movements have been quite frequent, with an increase in the tug-of-war between bulls and bears, indeed showing a rise in turnover rate, especially among short-term profit investors who are actively trading. However, BTC's price remains relatively stable, and without further positive or negative information, maintaining a range-bound movement is likely.

If U.S. stocks can continue to rise, then the probability of BTC following the upward trend of U.S. stocks will be very high. However, the rise of U.S. stocks at this stage cannot escape event-driven factors, such as today's pure event-driven rise of Nvidia.

From the support data, the range of $93,000 to $98,000 remains very solid, and earlier investors do not show much sign of participating in turnover, indicating that price stability is still quite strong.

This post is sponsored by @ApeXProtocolCN | Dex With ApeX

免责声明：本文章仅代表作者个人观点，不代表本平台的立场和观点。本文章仅供信息分享，不构成对任何人的任何投资建议。用户与作者之间的任何争议，与本平台无关。如网页中刊载的文章或图片涉及侵权，请提供相关的权利证明和身份证明发送邮件到support@aicoin.com，本平台相关工作人员将会进行核查。