The current logic behind the rise of BTC is still driven by external factors. For example, the reason for the increase this morning was that our friends in Asia learned about the approval of Bitcoin's state strategic reserves, coupled with media promotion both domestically and internationally, which created a certain level of FOMO sentiment. However, coming up, there is not only the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting but also the auction of 30-year U.S. Treasury bonds.
The former has a greater impact; whether Powell is dovish or hawkish is crucial. From my personal understanding, there is a high probability that Powell will continue to shift the blame to Trump this time. Additionally, the GDP and non-farm payroll data indicate resilience in the U.S. economy, which has stimulated the rise of risk markets. However, inflation has not continued to decline, and it is possible that Powell may continue to send signals to the market.
There is also a possibility that the 30-year U.S. Treasury bonds will continue to extract liquidity from the risk market. Therefore, I am currently maintaining a cautiously optimistic attitude.
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