Daily Sharing

Last night, the big pancake was originally expected to first see a 15-minute rebound strength, but it went relatively strong and formed a 1-hour rebound. As we mentioned earlier, if the third 1-hour decline does not break 40500, then it is highly likely to go for another 1-hour rebound to around 43000, as mentioned in the previous articles.

However, it is already close to 43500, and the previous 4-hour decline has formed a down, up, down three waves. So what we need to consider is whether to start a new 4-hour rebound to above the new high of 45000. Because our original expectation was for the big pancake to form a 1-hour center around 40500 to 43000, and then continue to extend downwards, but the probability of going upwards is increasing at the moment.

So, the observation is, if the short-term can effectively stabilize at 43500, not counting the needle, then we can consider a new 4-hour rebound, with the previous high of 44700 likely to be broken again. If it doesn't stabilize, it may continue to oscillate or extend downwards within the center for 4 hours.

Yesterday, a reader asked if we can see a daily level pullback? I think that if the current strength continues, it may not necessarily have a daily level pullback. First, the big pancake needs to fall below 39970 for a daily pullback. If it doesn't, then we can only consider the trend from the 4-hour level. Another trend is the spot ETF in mid-January, which is also a key point.

In other words, the daily pullback definitely exists, but if a larger pullback does not occur before this time point, then it is highly likely that after the ETF news is released, it will trigger a pullback as a positive realization.

BTC

Due to the rapid changes in the market, the article can only make predictions based on the market changes at the time of publication. Short-term players should pay attention to the latest market changes and use this information as a reference only.

1H:

At the 1-hour level, a 1-hour center has been constructed, with the upper edge of the center near 43500 and the lower edge at 40500. Currently, it depends on whether the short-term can effectively rise above the upper edge of the center at 43500. If it does, then it is highly likely to go for a new 4-hour rebound to around 46000. If it fails to stabilize, there is still a possibility of a retracement to the lower edge of the center.

However, the probability of continuing to rise here is relatively high, because the 1-hour rebound is likely not yet finished, and more observation is needed.

15M:

At the 15-minute level, it is likely still in the process of the second 15-minute level pullback, or constructing a 15-minute level center. Then we will see if the next 15-minute level rebound can effectively break through 43500.

ETH

In fact, Ethereum's state is similar to the big pancake. The 4-hour level pullback has already formed a down, up, down three waves. Structurally, it is possible for the 4-hour level pullback to end and then go for a 4-hour level rebound. But it also needs to be observed whether it will construct a center and extend downwards again. The resistance above in the short term is around 2280 to 2300. If the 1-hour rebound can break through, it is almost certain to go for a new 4-hour level rebound to above 2400. If it fails to break through, it may go for another 1-hour level downward extension. Let's see, the current 1-hour level rebound is still missing a 15-minute level rebound.

Trend Direction

Weekly Level: Upward, currently a continuation of the weekly rebound from 15476, pay attention to the subsequent daily situation for when it will end.

Daily Level: Upward, look for a pullback at the daily level if it falls below 39970.

4-hour Level: Upward or consolidation, if it effectively rises above 43500 again, then look for a new 4-hour level rebound.

1-hour Level: Upward, the 1-hour level rebound that started yesterday, still missing a 15-minute level upward.

15-minute Level: Upward, if it can stay above 42500, it can go for another 15-minute level test to 43500.

Feel free to follow my public account for discussions and exchanges:

The article is time-sensitive, be aware of the risks, the above is only personal advice, for reference only!

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