Just as the market has not fully recovered from the haze of geopolitical tensions, a string of numbers on the decentralized prediction market Polymarket once again stirred the sensitive nerves of cryptocurrency players. On March 1, the latest data showed that the probability of betting on "Bitcoin dropping to $50,000 this year" had fallen back to 62%. Although this number still exceeds half, it represents a subtle change compared to the extreme panic of recent days. Meanwhile, another set of bullish data is even more intriguing: predicting Bitcoin

This article analyzes the impact of Middle Eastern geopolitical black swan events on the cryptocurrency market from a quantitative trading perspective. Although the long-term bullish positions of institutions have not wavered, the short-term market faces wide fluctuations and de-leveraging risks, and geopolitical turmoil will accelerate the strategic allocation of macro funds to BTC.

On February 28, 2026, what seemed like an ordinary weekend was recorded in global financial history due to the sudden escalation of military conflicts in the Middle East. The United States and Israel jointly launched a "preemptive" military strike against Iran, which promptly initiated multiple large-scale counterattacks under Operation "Real Commitment-4." The flames of war quickly spread to several countries, including the United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Bahrain, and Iraq.

BBX disclosed that AEHL launched the "Genius Program" with a first purchase of one million dollars, and TeraWulf shifted to a "hold coin" model.

Trump plans to engage in new negotiations with Iran, while the U.S. military uses B-2 bombers to strike Iranian facilities. Barclays Bank advances cryptocurrency integration. Minnesota proposes a complete ban on cryptocurrency ATMs.

At the iConnections conference in Miami this week, allocators signaled digital assets are now a core sleeve in alternatives.

Led by Executive Chairman Michael Saylor, the company raised the annual dividend on its widely-followed preferred STRC (\\\"Stretch\\\") series by 25 basis points.

Historically, bitcoin bear markets have lasted 12-13 months, suggesting a potential downturn until late 2026 if priced in USD.

The investment by the UAE in World Liberty Financial has intensified external concerns regarding whether it has received special treatment and whether it is related to national security issues.

Original | Odaily Planet Daily (@OdailyChina) Author | Golem (@web 3_golem) On February 27, when a user asked OpenClaw founder Peter Steinberger "the best advice for 20-year-old young people" on the X platform, Peter Steinberger bluntly said "do not waste time on cryptocurrency." As the founder of the hottest AI product at present, Peter Steinber...

USDT and USAT are stored separately, and privacy issues are an important topic for the future.

Solana led major tokens with a 10.8% bounce, while ether reclaimed $2,000 and bitcoin climbed back above $66,800 ahead of traditional futures opens on Sunday.

February Crypto Financing of 883 Million USD: The Era of VC Wide Net Fishing is Over, Only with Revenue Can Money Be Obtained